UA 765 · SFO → ACV

took off 9:08 PM PT · landed 9:53 PM PT (scheduled 9:04 PM PT → 10:28 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to ACV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ 9pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ACV (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 765 · SFO → ACV

Odds over time

How late did it get to ACV?