Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8114 LANDED 5:00 PM PT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

UA 8114 · EWR → LAX

took off 2:36 PM ET · landed 5:00 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at EWR that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 8114 · EWR → LAX

Odds over time