tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 860 LANDED 6:00 AM ET, ~20 MIN EARLY

UA 860 · GRU → IAD

took off · landed 6:00 AM ET (scheduled 9:33 PM -03 → 6:25 AM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.