Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1076 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1076 · BWI → SAN

departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±5 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1076 · BWI → SAN

Odds over time