WN 1081 · SEA → LAS

departs 4:06 PM PT · arrives 6:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1081 · SEA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?