Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1218 LANDED 6:28 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 1218 · CLE → BNA

took off 6:22 AM ET · landed 6:28 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1218 · CLE → BNA

Odds over time