Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1268 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1268 · MCO → RSW

departs 7:02 PM ET · arrives 7:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1268 · MCO → RSW

Odds over time