Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1429 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1429 · MCO → MDW

departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 9:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1429 · MCO → MDW

Odds over time