Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1439 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:13 PM CT, ETA 9:18 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1439 · AUS → MCO

took off 6:13 PM CT · expected to land 9:18 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1439 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time