Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1453 LANDED 3:10 PM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1453 · DEN → BNA

took off 12:07 PM MT · landed 3:10 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1453 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time