WN 1552 · LAX → BNA

took off 11:29 PM PT · expected to land 5:05 AM CT (scheduled 11:01 PM PT → 4:55 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↑ 11pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1552 · LAX → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?