Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 165 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:39 PM PT, ETA 11:12 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 165 · LAS → HOU

took off 6:39 PM PT · expected to land 11:12 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

HOU (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 165 · LAS → HOU

Odds over time