Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 1791 · GEG → PHX
departs 12:25 PM PT · arrives 3:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.