Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1949 LANDED 3:20 PM MT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 1949 · DEN → TUS

took off 2:35 PM MT · landed 3:20 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUS that day

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1949 · DEN → TUS

Odds over time