WN 1972 · PHX → SLC

departs 7:49 PM MT · arrives 10:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1972 · PHX → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?