Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2146 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:38 PM ET, ETA 10:11 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2146 · MCO → MHT

took off 7:38 PM ET · expected to land 10:11 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MHT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.4 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2146 · MCO → MHT

Odds over time