Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2194
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2194 · LAS → BOI
departs 9:45 PM PT · arrives 12:30 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 27%
Sat 10/3 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
BOI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.