Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2203 · LAS → BUR
departs 12:55 PM PT · arrives 2:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 22%
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
12pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.10 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.