Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2235
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2235 · OMA → LAS
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 2:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 967 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OMA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 967 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.53 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.