Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2273
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2273 · LAS → MDW
departs 11:50 AM PT · arrives 5:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 37%
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from LAS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.