WN 234 · AUS → LAS

departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 6:53 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±6 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 234 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?