Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2485 LANDED 6:05 PM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 2485 · MCI → BNA

took off 4:53 PM CT · landed 6:05 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.39 in

BNA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2485 · MCI → BNA

Odds over time