Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2505 LANDED 7:19 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

WN 2505 · MCI → HOU

took off 5:40 PM CT · landed 7:19 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 5pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.39 in

HOU (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2505 · MCI → HOU

Odds over time