Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2602 LANDED 4:14 PM CT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2602 · MCO → MCI

took off 2:39 PM ET · landed 4:14 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2602 · MCO → MCI

Odds over time