Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2616 LANDED 4:02 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2616 · MCO → MKE

took off 2:37 PM ET · landed 4:02 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2616 · MCO → MKE

Odds over time