Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2625
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2625 · LAS → LAX
departs 7:55 PM PT · arrives 9:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.