Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2625
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2625 · SEA → LAS
departs 4:35 PM PT · arrives 7:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.