Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2731
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2731 · BWI → FLL
departs 1:40 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 27%
Sun 10/4 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
1pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 2.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.