Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2735 LANDED 10:22 PM MT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

WN 2735 · SMF → BOI

took off 8:17 PM PT · landed 10:22 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↑ 8pm departures from SMF are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2735 · SMF → BOI

Odds over time