Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2745 LANDED 1:24 PM MT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2745 · PHX → TUS

took off 12:55 PM MT · landed 1:24 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUS that day

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into TUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

TUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.45 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2745 · PHX → TUS

Odds over time