Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2745 LANDED 4:37 PM MT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2745 · TUS → DEN

took off 2:18 PM MT · landed 4:37 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ TUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.35 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2745 · TUS → DEN

Odds over time