Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2883 LANDED 7:01 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 2883 · OMA → MDW

took off 5:56 AM CT · landed 7:01 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from OMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.47 in

MDW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2883 · OMA → MDW

Odds over time