Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2936 LANDED 8:19 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 2936 · HNL → LGB

took off 12:24 PM HT · landed 8:19 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

LGB (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2936 · HNL → LGB

Odds over time