Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3129 LANDED 2:28 PM PT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

WN 3129 · PDX → LGB

took off 12:37 PM PT · landed 2:28 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3129 · PDX → LGB

Odds over time