Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 3206 · PHX → ONT
departs 6:50 PM MT · arrives 8:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 30%
Sun 10/4 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ONT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ONT?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
ONT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.