WN 3217 · PHX → MCI

departs 5:44 PM MT · arrives 10:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

MCI (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3217 · PHX → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?