WN 3244 · BWI → MHT

departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 9:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Arrivals into MHT at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.4 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3244 · BWI → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?