WN 3267 · PHX → SEA

departs 6:11 PM MT · arrives 9:07 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

SEA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3267 · PHX → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?