Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 3283 · LAS → OMA
departs 7:05 PM PT · arrives 11:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 833 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 833 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.