Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 3296 · PHX → MDW
departs 10:25 AM MT · arrives 3:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.