Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3442 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:11 PM PT, ETA 5:05 PM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 3442 · SMF → DEN

took off 2:11 PM PT · expected to land 5:05 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from SMF are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3442 · SMF → DEN

Odds over time