Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3533 LANDED 2:59 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 3533 · SEA → LGB

took off 12:57 PM PT · landed 2:59 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

LGB (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3533 · SEA → LGB

Odds over time