Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3678 LANDED 1:19 PM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 3678 · SMF → BNA

took off 7:31 AM PT · landed 1:19 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SMF is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3678 · SMF → BNA

Odds over time