Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 404 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:05 PM CT, ETA 3:14 PM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 404 · OKC → DEN

took off 3:05 PM CT · expected to land 3:14 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 404 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time