Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4082
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
WN 4082 · HNL → LAX
departs 8:50 PM HT · arrives 5:15 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 9%
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.