Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4211 LANDED 6:58 PM ET, ~3 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4211 · BWI → MYR

took off 5:57 PM ET · landed 6:58 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4211 · BWI → MYR

Odds over time