WN 4269 · MDW → FLL

departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4269 · MDW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?