Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 428 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 428 · PHX → ELP

departs 2:43 PM MT · arrives 4:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±8 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ELP that day

↑ 2pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ELP is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.67 in

ELP (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 428 · PHX → ELP

Odds over time