WN 449 · LAS → AUS

departs 4:28 PM PT · arrives 9:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 449 · LAS → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?