Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4537 LANDED 2:42 PM PT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4537 · SJC → LAX

took off 1:51 PM PT · landed 2:42 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4537 · SJC → LAX

Odds over time